百度金 发表于 2023-11-8 10:58

烟台潍坊冲刺“万亿之城”的迥然结局

<div class="wx_rich_media_content" id="jsWxContainer"><p><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;height: auto !important;"></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">近日,烟台“非正式官宣”了前三季度的经济数据。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">烟台日报在一篇报道中提到:前三季度,烟台完成地区生产总值7260亿元、增长6.7%,增速居全省第3位。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">7260亿,离GDP万亿目标只差2740亿。</span><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">参考去年四季度烟台2795.78亿元的数据,只要不出现大的意外,烟台今年无疑会轻松跨入“万亿之城”的行列,完成2022年初立下的目标。</span></strong></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><br></span></strong></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">经济社会发展,不唯GDP论,可是经济总量突破万亿,仍是个比较重要的、衡量综合实力的指标。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">与烟台的强势相比,另一个喊出冲击万亿大关的城市潍坊遇到了挫折。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">2021年,潍坊曾提出力争2024年破万亿,彼时潍坊经济增速高,GDP曾一年跨过两个千亿门槛,从2020年的5872亿猛增至2021年的7010亿。若按此增速,2024年过万亿,并非“不可能完成的任务”。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">不过,2022年潍坊经济开始失速,全年GDP增量缩减至300亿左右。今年上半年更是遭遇滑铁卢,增量为负。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">好在,潍坊的底子厚,二季度缓了过来,数据转正。但是,一年多时间的低迷,已让潍坊之前定下的目标变得遥不可及。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">今年上半年,潍坊GDP为3660.3亿元,以此为基础测算,全年可能达不到8000亿。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">为何两座城市迈向万亿的道路如此迥异?当然,这其中肯定牵涉到目标合理性的问题。但是,烟台与潍坊在产业结构、自然禀赋,乃至资源赋能等方面的差异,才是最根本的原因。</span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></p><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;height: auto !important;"></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;height: auto !important;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><font color="#ff0000">1</font></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><br></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">潍坊失速的一大原因,或许在于金融的透支。</span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><br></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">衡量一个区域的发展潜力与后劲,金融实力是绕不过去的指标,能反映真实家底。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">金融蓄水池大,代表为经济输出动力的能力就强。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">数据显示,烟台和潍坊本外币存款基本相同,在山东算是有实力的。今年上半年,烟台本外币存款为13499.71亿元,潍坊为13381.5亿元。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">最大的区别在于贷款余额。今年上半年,烟台的贷款余额为8888.97亿元,潍坊为10007.2亿元,比烟台高上不少。烟台的存贷比为65.84%,潍坊为79.95%。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">按理说,贷款余额多、存贷比大的地区,发展潜力更大。因为,有更多的资金流入了实体经济。当然,也不是越大越好,过高的存贷比则意味着当地金融机构可能存在信贷扩张过度的情况。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">以中国经济最为发达的长三角为例,25个城市中,2022年末有9个城市的存贷比超过1,其中宁波为105.38%,苏州为101.68%。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">数据上看,潍坊的存贷比和贷款余额更为合理,助力经济前行的资金更多,为什么反而出现了低迷?</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">比较合理的解释就是,前两年潍坊的发展透支了,或者说超出了城市的承受范围。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">历史数据和现实情况都能找到蛛丝马迹。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">2020年时,潍坊的存贷比为75.16%,2021年大幅涨至79.09%,而那两年正是潍坊经济最猛的两年,固投增速达16%。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">如果投资超出了正常的需求范围,且未形成良性循环时,贷款增速就会停滞,城市还有可能背上债务包袱。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">潍坊债务高,应与此有关。债务又反过来拖累了经济增长,所以,一季度之后山东加大了帮潍坊化债的力度。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;height: auto !important;"></span></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;letter-spacing: 0.578px;text-align: center;height: auto !important;"><br></span></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><font color="#ff0000">2</font></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><br></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">烟台存贷比很低,而经济一直没有出现太大波动,恰恰说明烟台企业具有很强的自生内力。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">与国内同级别城市相比,烟台的贷款余额都算低的,具有很大的可操作空间。贷款只要多出1000亿,达到潍坊的水平,就会让经济向前一大步。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">说白了,即使出现“黑天鹅”事件,以烟台现在的金融实力,也能发挥金融手段,将经济总量推到万亿级别。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">更不用说,烟台这两年抓住了机遇。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">一是得到了山东真金白银的支持。</span></strong><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">堪称巨无霸的裕龙岛炼化一体化项目,核准总投资高达1493亿元,为烟台经济发展提供了稳定的资金支持,并衍生了一大批相关投资。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">2022年,山东确定的重大项目中,石化类共有44个,烟台占据11个,其中多个与裕龙岛和万华化学相关。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">二是在能源上的布局,也让人称道。</span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><br></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">清洁能源装机容量全省第一,实现全国第一次商用核能供暖,发出全省第一度核电、第一度海上风电和全球第一度海上漂浮式光伏发电。烟台由此引来了国家电投核能总部。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;height: auto !important;"></span></section><section style="text-align: center;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;height: auto !important;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><font color="#ff0000">3</font></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><br></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">应该说,潍坊三产的均衡度,在山东乃至国内都是最好的。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">尤其是以农业为主的第一产业,潍坊声名在外,全国闻名。但是,在经济过万亿这件事上,农业是很吃亏的。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">即使强如潍坊,2022年一产的增加值也仅有600多亿。技术角度上讲,GDP过万亿主要的支撑是工业。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">所以说,</span><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">如果以万亿GDP的标准去评价潍坊,是很不公允的。潍坊在均衡发展方面作出的贡献,数据无法完全体现。</span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><br></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">潍坊与烟台的工业可谓半斤八两,都很强,也有突出的代表性企业。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">潍坊的制造业总量约占全省的十分之一、全国的百分之一。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">2022年,烟台规上工业增加值增长10.8%、工业技改投资增长35.2%、实现工业利润674亿元,三项指标均居全省首位。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">潍坊比较可惜的一点是,除了工业,还没有找到新的、比较大的增长极。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">烟台除了工业,还拥有排名全球前15位的港口。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">今年上半年,烟台外贸进出口总量实现2183.7亿元、居全省第2位,进口902.7亿元、创历史新高。潍坊进出口总额仅为1575.9亿元。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><font color="#ff0000">4</font></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><strong><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px; font-size: 17px;"><br></span></strong></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">综上所述,现在来看潍坊当年喊出2024年GDP过万亿的目标,有点操之过急,即使有经济底蕴的内在条件,但也没有那么牢固,加上疫情等外在因素的冲击,打乱了节奏。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">再者,作为山东的第四经济强市,中国的蔬菜之乡,潍坊的地位不能仅仅经济数据来评判,即使2024年完不成目标,潍坊也会在三五年内达线。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">另外,GDP突破万亿是个系统工程,仅靠“单项成绩”难以完成,这也是西部缺少“万亿之城”的重要原因。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;">因此,冲万亿不要强求,利用自身条件,实现高质量发展比字面上的数据更有意义。</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: rgb(73, 73, 73); font-family: PingFangSC-Light; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 30px;"><br></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px;margin-right: 16px;"><span class="wxart_image" wx-style="display:inline-block;height: auto !important;"></span></section><p style="display: none;"><mp-style-type data-value="3"></mp-style-type></p><br>转载声明:本文转载自「青小岛」公众号,搜索「QingXDao」即可关注,[<a target="_blank" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/hXgGHPzds0UHBD6eZIMAow">阅读原文</a>]。</div><p></p>

梅兰 发表于 2023-11-8 13:00

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